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William Edwards
2024-02-15T14:18:32Z
- The S&P 500 may see more lackluster returns with the Federal Reserve likely to keep rates higher.
- Individual stocks that undergo a split could outperform, according to Bank of America.
- Stocks trading above $500 per share are candidates for stock splits.
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With the already above many strategists' year-end price targets and the Federal Reserve looking increasingly likely to keep rates higher for longer, it's possible the index will deliver more lackluster returns over the rest of the year.
If that happens, one source of outperformance could come from individual stocks that undergo a split, according to Bank of America.
In a stock split, a company increases the number of its shares on the market. For example, if one share of a company is worth $50 and they issue a 2-for-1 split, an investor would then get two shares worth $25 each for every share they own. Companies usually issue a stock split to make the entry price of their shares cheaper. This typically brings more cash into the stock, pushing up the price.
In a February 13 note, a team of strategists led by Jared Woodard said that companies that have issued stock splits have typically beaten the S&P 500 in the following year.
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"Historically, stocks have notched 25% total returns in the 12 months after a split is announced, compared to 12% for the broad index," Woodard said. "Splits have boosted returns in every decade including the early 2000s when the S&P 500 struggled."
But strong performance after a split is not a given, he said.
"Outperformance is no guarantee. While splits could be an indication of strong momentum, companies can struggle in a challenging macro environment," the note said. "Companies like Amazon, Google, Tesla, and Dexcom struggled in the 12 months after splits were announced in 2022 as interest rates spiked."
Woodard said stocks trading above $500 per share are most likely to issue a split, since their entry prices are more expensive than 95% of stocks in the S&P 500. Below, we've listed the 24 stocks in the S&P 500 that Bank of America also has a "Buy" rating on.
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1. NVR
Ticker: NVR
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Source: Bank of America
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2. Chipotle Mexican Grill
Ticker: CMG
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Source: Bank of America
3. Broadcom
Ticker: AVGO
Sector: Information Technology
Source: Bank of America
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4. TransDigm Group
Ticker: TDG
Sector: Industrials
Source: Bank of America
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5. O'Reilly Automotive
Ticker: ORLY
Sector: Industrials
Source: Bank of America
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6. Lam Research
Ticker: LRCX
Sector: Information Technology
Source: Bank of America
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7. Equinix
Ticker: EQIX
Sector: Real Estate
Source: Bank of America
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8. ServiceNow
Ticker: NOW
Sector: Information Technology
Source: Bank of America
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9. BlackRock
Ticker: BLK
Sector: Financials
Source: Bank of America
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10. Eli Lilly
Ticker: LLY
Sector: Healthcare
Source: Bank of America
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11. Costco Wholesale
Ticker: COST
Sector: Consumer Staples
Source: Bank of America
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12. Nvidia
Ticker: NVDA
Sector: Information Technology
Source: Bank of America
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13. Intuit
Ticker: INTU
Sector: Information Technology
Source: Bank of America
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14. United Rentals
Ticker: URI
Sector: Industrials
Source: Bank of America
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15. KLA
Ticker: KLAC
Sector: Information Technology
Source: Bank of America
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16. Adobe
Ticker: ADBE
Sector: Information Technology
Source: Bank of America
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17. Cintas
Ticker: CTAS
Sector: Industrials
Source: Bank of America
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18. Synopsys
Ticker: SNPS
Sector: Information Technology
Source: Bank of America
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19. Netflix
Ticker: NFLX
Sector: Communication Services
Source: Bank of America
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20. Thermo Fisher Scientific
Ticker: TMO
Sector: Healthcare
Source: Bank of America
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21. Parker-Hannifin
Ticker: PH
Sector: Industrials
Source: Bank of America
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22. UnitedHealth
Ticker: UNH
Sector: Healthcare
Source: Bank of America
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24. McKesson
Ticker: MCK
Sector: Healthcare
Source: Bank of America
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