Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis, + Website - (Bloomberg Financial) by Doug Huggins & Christian Schaller (Hardcover) (2024)

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As western governments issue increasing amounts of debt, the fixed income markets have never been more important. Yet the methods for analyzing these markets have failed to keep pace with recent developments, including the deterioration in the credit quality of many sovereign issuers. In Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis, Doug Huggins and Christian Schaller address this gap with a set of analytic tools for assessing value in the markets for government bonds, interest rate swaps, and related basis swaps, as well as associated futures and options.

Taking a practitioner's point of view, the book presents the theory behind market analysis in connection with tools for finding and expressing trade ideas. The extensive use of actual market examples illustrates the ways these analytic tools can be applied in practice.

The book covers:

  • Statistical models for quantitative market analysis, in particular mean reversion models and principal component analysis.
  • An in-depth approach to understanding swap spreads in theory and in practice.
  • A comprehensive discussion of the various basis swaps and their combinations.
  • The incorporation of credit default swaps in yield curve analysis.
  • A classification of option trades, with appropriate analysis tools for each category.
  • Fitted curve techniques for identifying relative value among different bonds.
  • A multi-factor delivery option model for bond future contracts.
  • Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis provides an insightful presentation of the relevant statistical and financial theories, a detailed set of statistical and financial tools derived from these theories, and a multitude of actual trades resulting from the application of these tools to the fixed income markets. As such, it's an indispensable guide for relative value analysts, relative value traders, and portfolio managers for whom security selection and hedging are part of the investment process.

    About the Author

    Doug Huggins has been working in the fixed income markets in the US and Europe for 25 years. He managed the European fixed income relative value research group at Deutsche Bank in the late 90's, when the group was voted best in its class for three consecutive years by the readers of Global Investor Magazine. He joined ABN AMRO in 2001 as Global Head of Fixed Income Relative Value Research, and subsequently became the firm's Global Head of Hedge Fund Sales. In 2003, he started a proprietary trading desk at ABN, focusing on fixed income relative value opportunities. He continued a career as a relative value trader in the London offices of two global hedge funds: Citadel and Old Lane.

    Doug has a Ph.D. in financial economics and statistics from the University of Chicago and has focused throughout his career on developing financial and statistical models for the purpose of identifying relative value opportunities in global markets. In both Research and Trading, Doug has applied these models successfully to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns for clients and the firms for which he's traded. Doug is currently applying relative value models to the energy and agricultural markets as a managing director of Starsupply Commodity Brokers in London.

    Christian Schaller earned a Ph.D. in Mathematics at the University of Bonn, Germany before learning the tools of the fixed income trade in the Relative Value team at Deutsche Bank, managed by Anshu Jain. Over time, he's made a number of original contributions, particularly in the areas of principal component analysis and basis swap modeling. While responsible for Deutsche Bank's research in Tokyo, he was voted "best relative value researcher" by customers in the Greenwich survey.

    As Global Head of Leveraged Investment Strategy at ABN AMRO, Christian used his skill to translate mathematical theory into profitable trading positions for the firm's most demanding clients, including hedge funds, proprietary trading desks, central banks, and other financial institutions. In 2004, Christian founded Shinzenbi, a consulting firm based in Japan, advising investment banks on the development, training, and management of quantitative research teams.

    In early 2013, Christian and Doug created Quantitative Markets Analysis Ltd, a London-based firm helping financial organizations apply quantitative methods to identify relative value opportunities in global markets. In addition to financial software, Quantitative Markets Analysis provides consulting services, including staff training and the design and implementation of bespoke systems for pre-trade and post-trade analytics.

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Fixed Income Relative Value Analysis, + Website - (Bloomberg Financial) by  Doug Huggins & Christian Schaller (Hardcover) (2024)

FAQs

What is relative value analysis of fixed income? ›

Relative value can be defined as expected price convergence of contracts or portfolios with similar risk profiles. For fixed income this means similar exposure to duration, convexity and credit risk. The causes of relative value are limited arbitrage capital and aversion to the risk of persistent divergence.

What is the RV trading strategy? ›

Relative-value arbitrage is an investment strategy that seeks to take advantage of price differentials between related financial instruments, such as stocks and bonds, by simultaneously buying and selling the different securities—thereby allowing investors to potentially profit from the “relative value” of the two ...

What is RV in fixed income? ›

Fixed-Income Relative-Value Investing (FI-RV) is a hedge fund investment strategy made popular by the failed hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management. FI-RV Investors most commonly exploit interest-rate anomalies in the large, liquid markets of North America, Europe and the Pacific Rim.

What is the relative value of a bond? ›

Relative value credit strategy depends on the isolation of identical or very similar credit instruments, where one is assessed to be comparatively under- or overvalued. These might be bonds issued by the same borrower but at different points of the yield curve or be bonds issued by different but similar borrowers.

How to do fixed income analysis? ›

To determine the value of a fixed income security, the analyst must estimate the expected cash flows from the investment and the appropriate required yield. The cash flows consist of: periodic interest (known as coupon) payments prior to the maturity date, and. the repayment of the principal at par value upon maturity.

What is the rich cheap analysis of bonds? ›

The Rich/Cheap Analysis can be used to assess the price of each bond credit rating. whether each bond is priced too high or too low in comparison to other bonds with the same credit grade by evaluating 3 groupings 1. Cheap: That bond is cheap because it is above the upper bound.

What is the most profitable trading strategy of all time? ›

One of the ways beginners can implement the most profitable trading strategies effectively is by embracing the buy-and-hold strategy. This involves researching companies with solid fundamentals and stable earnings, then holding their stocks for a long time without being swayed by short-term market fluctuations.

What is the 5 3 1 trading strategy? ›

Clear guidelines: The 5-3-1 strategy provides clear and straightforward guidelines for traders. The principles of choosing five currency pairs, developing three trading strategies, and selecting one specific time of day offer a structured approach, reducing ambiguity and enhancing decision-making.

Has RV sales slowed down? ›

Ashurst said RV sales took off as Americans looked outdoors for social-distance-safe activities, then decelerated down almost 50% from their 2021 peak. Higher interest rates have also cut into demand.

Why are you specifically interested in fixed income relative value? ›

Relative value strategies can be used to express views on economic and policy outlooks across countries, or dislocations within a single market, while limiting exposure to conventional fixed income risks.

Is an RV a good asset? ›

For example, if you plan to live in your RV full-time or take frequent RV trips, owning your vehicle might be a good investment, as it'll help you save on RV rental fees, hotels, flights, and more.

What asset class is fixed income? ›

'Fixed income' is a broad asset class that includes government bonds, municipal bonds, corporate bonds, and asset-backed securities such as mortgage-backed bonds. They're called 'fixed income' because these assets provide a return in the form of fixed periodic payments.

What is relative value in simple words? ›

Relative value is a method of determining an asset's worth that takes into account the value of similar assets. This is in contrast with absolute value, which looks only at an asset's intrinsic value and does not compare it to other assets.

How is relative value calculated? ›

Understanding Relative Valuation Models

It is calculated by dividing stock price by earnings per share (EPS), and is expressed as a company's share price as a multiple of its earnings. A company with a high P/E ratio is trading at a higher price per dollar of earnings than its peers and is considered overvalued.

How do I find out the value of a bond? ›

The bond valuation formula can be represented as: Price = ( Coupon × 1 − ( 1 + r ) − n r ) + Par Value ( 1 + r ) n . The bond value formula can be broken into two parts for better understanding.

What is the relative valuation analysis? ›

Relative valuation, also referred to as comparable valuation, is a very useful and effective tool in valuing an asset. Relative valuation involves the use of similar, comparable assets in valuing another asset. In the real estate market, relative valuation forms the framework for valuing a piece of real estate.

What is an example of a relative value strategy? ›

An example of this is that you are occasionally able to simultaneously buy and sell convertible debt instruments along with their underlying stock. In doing this, you are effectively exploiting temporary discrepancies in their valuations. More often, your trades are more speculative.

What is an example of relative value? ›

If Company A were trading at 20 times its EPS, the industry average, it would be trading at a price of $40, which is the relative value. In other words, based on the industry average, Company A is trading at a price that is $10 higher than it should be, representing an opportunity to sell.

What is the difference between relative value and intrinsic value? ›

While relative valuation models seek to value a business by companies to other companies, intrinsic valuation models see to value a business by looking only at the company on its own.

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