Netflix, Inc. (NFLX): Were Hedge Funds Right About This Stock? (2024)

The latest 13F reporting period has come and gone, and Insider Monkey is again at the forefront when it comes to making use of this gold mine of data. We at Insider Monkey have plowed through 873 13F filings that hedge funds and well-known value investors are required to file by the SEC. The 13F filings show the funds’ and investors’ portfolio positions as of June 30th. In this article we look at what those investors think of Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX).

Is Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) going to take off soon? Investors who are in the know were betting on the stock. The number of bullish hedge fund positions moved up by 3 in recent months. Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) was in 113 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of the second quarter of 2021. The all time high for this statistic is 116. Our calculations also showed that NFLX ranked 13th among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds (click for Q2 rankings). There were 110 hedge funds in our database with NFLX positions at the end of the first quarter.

Why do we pay any attention at all to hedge fund sentiment? Our research has shown that a select group of hedge fund holdings outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by 79 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). That’s why we believe hedge fund sentiment is an extremely useful indicator that investors should pay attention to.

At Insider Monkey, we scour multiple sources to uncover the next great investment idea. Recently we came across a high growth stock that has tons of hidden assets and is trading at an extremely cheap valuation.We go through lists like the 10best growth stocks to buyto pick the next Tesla that will deliver a 10x return. Even though we recommend positions in only a tiny fraction of the companies we analyze, we check out as many stocks as we can. We read hedge fund investor letters and listen to stock pitches at hedge fund conferences. You can subscribe to our free daily newsletter onour homepage. Now we’re going to check out the fresh hedge fund action regarding Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX).

Do Hedge Funds Think NFLX Is A Good Stock To Buy Now?

At the end of June, a total of 113 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey were long this stock, a change of 3% from one quarter earlier. Below, you can check out the change in hedge fund sentiment towards NFLX over the last 24 quarters. So, let’s see which hedge funds were among the top holders of the stock and which hedge funds were making big moves.

Of the funds tracked by Insider Monkey, Ken Griffin’s Citadel Investment Group has the number one call position in Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), worth close to $2.1957 billion, amounting to 0.5% of its total 13F portfolio. The second largest stake is held by Ken Fisher of Fisher Asset Management, with a $2.1041 billion position; 1.3% of its 13F portfolio is allocated to the company. Remaining hedge funds and institutional investors that are bullish include Boykin Curry’s Eagle Capital Management, David Goel and Paul Ferri’s Matrix Capital Management and John Armitage’s Egerton Capital Limited. In terms of the portfolio weights assigned to each position Immersion Capital allocated the biggest weight to Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), around 12.27% of its 13F portfolio. Blacksheep Fund Management is also relatively very bullish on the stock, setting aside 11.74 percent of its 13F equity portfolio to NFLX.

As one would reasonably expect, key hedge funds have jumped into Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) headfirst. Soroban Capital Partners, managed by Eric W. Mandelblatt and Gaurav Kapadia, created the most valuable position in Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX). Soroban Capital Partners had $337.6 million invested in the company at the end of the quarter. Gavin Baker’s Atreides Management also initiated a $102.2 million position during the quarter. The other funds with new positions in the stock are Gaurav Kapadia’s XN Exponent Advisors, Stanley Druckenmiller’s Duquesne Capital, and Oscar Hattink’s BlueDrive Global Investors.

Let’s now take a look at hedge fund activity in other stocks similar to Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX). These stocks are The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ), Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC), salesforce.com, inc. (NYSE:CRM), Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO), Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY), and Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE). This group of stocks’ market values are closest to NFLX’s market value.

Ticker No of HFs with positions Total Value of HF Positions (x1000) Change in HF Position
KO 62 24965786 1
VZ 63 10958091 -6
INTC 78 6764047 -5
CRM 108 11767293 17
CSCO 60 4219112 1
LLY 64 2994849 9
PFE 67 2356906 2
Average 71.7 9146583 2.7

View table hereif you experience formatting issues.

As you can see these stocks had an average of 71.7 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $9147 million. That figure was $13217 million in NFLX’s case. salesforce.com, inc. (NYSE:CRM) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) is the least popular one with only 60 bullish hedge fund positions. Compared to these stocks Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) is more popular among hedge funds. Our overall hedge fund sentiment score for NFLX is 93.2. Stocks with higher number of hedge fund positions relative to other stocks as well as relative to their historical range receive a higher sentiment score. Our calculations showed that top 5 most popular stocks among hedge funds returned 95.8% in 2019 and 2020, and outperformed the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) by 40 percentage points. These stocks returned 26.3% in 2021 through October 29th but still managed to beat the market by 2.3 percentage points. Hedge funds were also right about betting on NFLX as the stock returned 30.7% since the end of June (through 10/29) and outperformed the market by an even larger margin. Hedge funds were clearly right about piling into this stock relative to other stocks with similar market capitalizations.

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Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.

NASDAQ:NFLXYahoo FinanceSentiment Score 90 or Moreis NFLX a good stock to buyIs NFLX A Good Investment Right Now?

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX): Were Hedge Funds Right About This Stock? (2024)

FAQs

Is NFLX a good stock to buy? ›

Netflix has 2.16% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Is NFLX a Buy, Sell or Hold? Netflix has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 23 buy ratings, 12 hold ratings and 1 sell ratings.

What is the intrinsic value of NFLX? ›

What is intrinsic value? Netflix Inc's market capitalization is 267.7B USD. NFLX stock price is 621.1 USD. The Intrinsic Value of NFLX stock (355.83 USD) is 43% less than its price (621.1 USD).

Is Netflix investment legit? ›

Yes. Netflix is a publicly traded company, so Netflix stock can be bought using any brokerage account.

How high will Netflix stock go? ›

Based on short-term price targets offered by 34 analysts, the average price target for Netflix comes to $647.18. The forecasts range from a low of $440.00 to a high of $800.00. The average price target represents an increase of 5.46% from the last closing price of $613.66.

What is the 12 month forecast for NFLX stock? ›

Based on analysts offering 12 month price targets for NFLX in the last 3 months. The average price target is $656.64 with a high estimate of $800 and a low estimate of $450.

What will Netflix stock be worth in 2030? ›

The stock's total value must multiply by nearly 5 before reaching a $1 trillion market cap -- an ambitious goal that calls for time and patience. A more reasonable, yet consistently market-beating, estimate suggests Netflix could reach a $564 million market cap by 2030 and $1 trillion in 2035.

Who is the main investor in Netflix? ›

Largest shareholders include Vanguard Group Inc, BlackRock Inc., Fmr Llc, State Street Corp, VTSMX - Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Investor Shares, Price T Rowe Associates Inc /md/, Capital World Investors, VFINX - Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares, Jpmorgan Chase & Co, and AGTHX - GROWTH FUND OF AMERICA ...

How many shares does nflx have? ›

According to Netflix's latest financial reports and stock price the company's current number of shares outstanding is 432,090,000. At the end of 2024 the company had 432,090,000 shares outstanding. The number of outstanding shares is usually impacted by stock plits and shares buy back.

How to invest in NFLX stock? ›

How to buy Netflix stock
  1. Open a brokerage account.
  2. Add money to the account.
  3. Search for Netflix stock within your brokerage account's platform using the ticker "NFLX."
  4. Fill out the order, indicating whether you want to buy the stock in dollars or shares.
  5. Submit the order.
Mar 6, 2024

What if you invested $1,000 in Netflix 10 years ago? ›

So, if you had invested in Netflix a decade ago, you're probably feeling pretty good about your investment today. According to our calculations, a $1000 investment made in May 2014 would be worth $12,426.22, or a 1,142.62% gain, as of May 20, 2024.

Why is Netflix stock falling? ›

The lack of visibility into key performance metrics is the biggest reason for the Netflix stock drop Friday, BofA Securities analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich said in a client note. The reporting change "could be a harbinger of decelerating subscriber growth in the future," she said.

Why is Netflix stock going up? ›

Netflix Stock Jumps After Company Adds 13 Million Subscribers in the Latest Quarter. Netflix shares are trading sharply higher in late trading Tuesday after the company posted better-than- expected revenue and a substantial subscriber beat for the fourth quarter.

Who owns Netflix stock? ›

The ownership structure of Netflix (NFLX) stock is a mix of institutional, retail and individual investors. Approximately 72.48% of the company's stock is owned by Institutional Investors, 5.28% is owned by Insiders and 22.24% is owned by Public Companies and Individual Investors.

Does Netflix pay dividends? ›

Is Netflix's dividend stable? Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) does not pay a dividend.

How to invest $10 in Netflix? ›

To buy fractional shares of Netflix stock, you'll need to sign up for Stash and open a personal portfolio. Stash allows you to purchase smaller pieces of investments, called fractional shares, rather than having to pay the full price for a whole share.

What is the price prediction for NFLX tomorrow? ›

NFLX Stock Forecast FAQ

The NetFlix stock forecast for tomorrow is $ 617.04, which would represent a 0.55% gain compared to the current price. In the next week, the price of NFLX is expected to increase by 13.20% and hit $ 694.68.

Who owns NFLX stock? ›

The ownership structure of Netflix (NFLX) stock is a mix of institutional, retail and individual investors. Approximately 72.57% of the company's stock is owned by Institutional Investors, 5.28% is owned by Insiders and 22.15% is owned by Public Companies and Individual Investors.

Is Tesla a good stock to buy? ›

Tesla stock has retreated about 30% in 2024. However, since Tesla reported first quarter earnings and revenue on April 23, it has rallied and is finding support at its 50-day moving average, according to MarketSurge analysis. Tesla stock hit a 52-week low of 138.80 on April 22.

Is Walmart a good stock to buy? ›

Is WMT a Buy, Sell or Hold? Walmart has a consensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 25 buy ratings, 3 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. The average price target for Walmart is $70.48. This is based on 28 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.

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