Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substance Toxicity and Human Health Review: Current State of Knowledge and Strategies for Informing Future Research (2024)

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Immune function

Epidemiological studies have explored relationships between PFAS exposure and laboratory biomarkers of immunomodulation, such as vaccine responses. A doubling of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) in maternal serum was associated with a 39% (p < 0.001) reduction in diphtheria antibody concentration in children (age 5 yr), with increased odds of falling below clinically protective values against diphtheria and tetanus at age 7 yr. The authors noted that a “2-fold greater concentration of major PFCs [perfluorinated compounds] in child serum was associated with a difference of −49% (95% CI, −67% to −23%) in the overall antibody concentration” (Grandjean et al. 2012). Decreased immunological response persisted at age 13 yr (Grandjean et al. 2017). Adverse associations were also noted for responses to rubella, mumps, and Hemophilus influenza vaccinations in children and to vaccinations in adults (Granum et al. 2013; Looker et al. 2014; Stein et al. 2016; Abraham et al. 2020). In a single study, modest down-regulation of C-reactive protein response, a marker of human systemic inflammation, was also reported to be associated with perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) blood levels (Genser et al. 2015).

Disease outcomes linked with immunosuppression such as clinician-recorded diagnoses of childhood infections have also been associated with prenatal exposures to PFOS and perfluorohexane sulfonate (PFHxS) (Goudarzi et al. 2017). A pregnancy cohort study prospectively detected increased risk of airway and throat infections and diarrhea in children through age 10 yr, correlated with cord-blood PFAS measurements (Impinen et al. 2018, 2019). A recent review concluded that exposure to PFAS in infancy and childhood resulted in an immunosuppressive effect characterized by an increased incidence of atopic dermatitis and lower respiratory tract infections (Kvalem et al. 2020). Some of the immunological effects were sex-specific, but the authors cautioned that there were inconsistencies across studies (Kvalem et al. 2020). Overall, available data provide strong evidence that PFAS exposure can suppress the human immune response.

Population studies of immune hyperreactive diseases have resulted in mixed findings. Studies on childhood allergy and asthma outcomes have shown no association with PFAS (Impinen et al. 2018, 2019), whereas others have found substantial effects, including provocative evidence that subgroups of individuals not adequately immunized may be at an increased risk for disease a priori (Qin et al. 2017; Timmermann et al. 2017a). For example, a case-control study of Taiwanese children compared the first and fourth quartiles of serum measurements for 11 PFAS with asthma and other immune markers and reported confidence intervals well above 1.0 for PFOA and others (Qin et al. 2017). However, review articles concerning PFAS and childhood allergy and asthma offer nuanced, age- and sex-specific interpretations and advise against firm conclusions (Kvalem et al. 2020).

Chronic autoimmune outcomes, including thyroid disease (see section Thyroid function) and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), have also been considered. A study in contaminated communities (n = 32 254) detected an association between both prevalence and incidence of ulcerative colitis (UC) and PFOA exposure (linear trend p = 0.0001 [Steenland et al. 2013]). A worker study (n = 3713) found a higher prevalence (p = 0.01) and incidence (p < 0.05) of UC with increasing log PFOA serum concentrations (Steenland et al. 2015). A case-control study of children and young adults from a background exposure community in Atlanta, Georgia, USA, also found higher serum PFOA levels in patients with UC (Steenland et al. 2018b). In contrast to PFOA-related associations in US populations, a study of a contaminated community in Sweden (n = 63 074) did not show a consistent association of IBD with any PFAS exposure (Xu et al. 2020b).

Recent, thorough reviews (National Toxicology Program 2016; DeWitt et al. 2019; Pachkowski et al. 2019) emphasize some key concepts: 1) there is concordance between animal studies and human epidemiological observations that PFAS modify the immune response, and 2) there are noted complexities in assuming dose-response continuums, including possible differences in life-stage vulnerability. Authors of these reviews note uncertainty about which outcome will be of most importance but agree that immunotoxicity should be included among sensitive human PFAS toxicity endpoints.

Thyroid function

The C8 Science Panelists concluded that there is a “probable link” of PFOA exposure to thyroid disease, with sex-specific outcomes in women (for hyperthyroid disease) versus men (hypothyroid disease) (C8 Science Panel 2012). Subsequent reviews drew attention to hypothyroid outcomes in women and children and to the possibility that populations with a priori circulating antithyroid peroxidase antibodies may be at additional risk (Coperchini et al. 2017). A broad childhood disease review noted “some evidence” that PFAS cause childhood hypothyroidism and characterized the number of studies as “limited” for childhood disease conclusions (Rappazzo et al. 2017). A meta-analysis of 12 child and adult studies that excluded populations with higher exposures noted that PFAS exposure is negatively associated with serum total thyroxine levels and that “PFAS could induce thyroid dysfunction and disease” (Lee and Choi 2017).

Human thyroid disease is mostly the result of an autoimmune response and is 5 to 10 times more prevalent in women than men (Tadic et al. 2018). Concerning PFAS and clinically diagnosed outcomes, women in the highest quartile of PFOA exposure (>5.7 ng/mL) reported clinical hypothyroid disease (odds ratio 2.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4–3.7) over 3 cycles of National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data (1999–2006, n = 3974 adults), with similar findings in men (Melzer et al. 2010). The C8 Science Panel studies (median serum PFOA 26.1 ng/mL) found thyroid disease hazard ratios of 1.00, 1.24, 1.27, 1.36, and 1.37 across cumulative exposure quintiles in women (log-linear trend p = 0.03 [Winquist and Steenland 2014b]), with parallel hypothyroid findings in children aged 1 to 17 yr (Lopez-Espinosa et al. 2012). The Ronneby, Sweden, population experienced excess risk of thyroid disease in a discrete time period (1984–2005) among women (hazard ratio 1.29, 95% CI 1.05–1.57) that did not persist over time despite higher cumulative PFAS exposure (Andersson et al. 2019). The authors did not link exposure to hypothyroid outcome, noting a nonmonotonic dose-response relationship (Andersson et al. 2019).

Human population studies augment experimental data that PFAS interact with thyroid hormone binding proteins (Berg et al. 2015; Ren et al. 2016; Zhang J et al. 2016), one of several mechanisms by which PFAS can perturb feedback relationships between free thyroid hormone and the hypothalamic-pituitary-thyroid axis. Exposures to PFAS also interfere with thyroid peroxidase (TPO) enzyme activity in vitro (Song et al. 2012). Several PFAS studies have pursued this putative mechanism, finding that maternal and neonatal thyroid hormone outcomes were more readily detected in those with a priori abnormally high circulating anti-TPO antibodies (Webster et al. 2014, 2016). One case-control study investigated congenital hypothyroidism, a rare condition. Serum concentrations of PFOA (5.40 vs 2.12 ng/mL; p < 0.01), perfluorononanoic acid (PFNA; 1.93 vs 0.63 ng/mL; p < 0.001), perfluorodecanoic acid (PFDA; 0.52 vs 0.30 ng/mL; p < 0.005), and perfluoroundecanoic acid (0.98 vs 0.44 ng/mL; p < 0.005) were higher in the diagnosed newborns; and levels of several PFAS, including PFOA and PFHxS, were correlated with thyroid autoantibodies (Kim et al. 2016).

Thyroid disease is not the only concern. Clinicians are concerned about subclinically elevated thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) in early pregnancy because it may be associated with several possible adverse maternal and fetal outcomes (Forhead and Fowden 2014). This general concern has prompted numerous PFAS-exposure evaluations of corresponding TSH in maternal serum, cord blood, and newborns. A review of maternal and child biomarkers with PFAS exposure noted that higher TSH has been reported in 4 second-trimester studies (Ballesteros et al. 2017), but there are also conflicting findings. Studies measuring PFAS in the first trimester have also found associations between PFAS exposure and altered TSH levels in newborns, including nonmonotonic patterns of dose response that mirror the marked alterations of thyroid hormone levels during pregnancy (Inoue et al. 2019).

From the available studies, PFAS definitively alter human thyroid hormones and potentially contribute to thyroid auto-immunity but do not so far appear to be a cause of thyroid cancer (Barry et al. 2013; Vieira et al. 2013). Also, thyroid cancer is usually survived; thus, morbidity rather than mortality studies are useful.

Liver disease and cancer

The liver is a primary target organ for long-chain PFAS storage, and accompanying experimental evidence of toxicity includes hepatocyte fat infiltration, specific P450 (CYP) pathway induction, apoptosis, hepatocellular adenomas and carcinomas, and disrupted fatty acid trafficking that can be peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor alpha (PPARα)-dependent or -independent and present across species (Maestri et al. 2006; Cui et al. 2009; Wan et al. 2012; Huang et al. 2013; Perez et al. 2013; Filgo et al. 2015; Xu et al. 2016, 2020a; Yao et al. 2016; Zhang L et al. 2016b; Hui et al. 2017; Li et al. 2017a; Guillette et al. 2020; National Toxicology Program 2020a).

Population studies demonstrate significant associations of long-chain PFAS (>6 fluorinated carbons) exposure to higher liver enzymes, such as alanine aminotransferase in adults and adolescents (Sakr et al. 2007a; Gallo et al. 2012; Yamaguchi et al. 2013; Gleason et al. 2015; Attanasio 2019; Nian et al. 2019), including in longitudinal studies (Sakr et al. 2007b; Darrow et al. 2016). Following low-dose exposures, these associations may be more evident in obese participants (Lin et al. 2010; Gallo et al. 2012; Jain and Ducatman 2019e).

Based on experimental data (Martin et al. 2007; Wan et al. 2012; Wang et al. 2013; Das et al. 2017), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has been investigated as a clinical outcome of PFAS exposure mediating consistent population PFAS-altered liver enzyme findings. Studies with NAFLD cytokeratin C18 biomarkers have provided supportive evidence for PFAS inducing steatosis (Bassler et al. 2019). Metabolomic studies have been directed at potentially explanatory human glycerophosphocholine and fatty acid profiles (Kingsley et al. 2019; Salihovic et al. 2019; Wahlang et al. 2019). Processes which favor steatosis promote advanced liver disease including liver cancer in humans (Massoud and Charlton 2018; National Toxicology Program 2020a). Associations of PFAS with advanced human liver disease and liver cancer are technically hard to study for reasons including (and not limited to) lethality, selection of comparison populations, and alterations of excretion mechanics associated with disease states. In a clinic-based study, mostly obese (85%) children aged 7 to 19 yr with biopsy-proven NAFLD had more advanced disease associated with PFOS and PFHxS exposure as well as associations with lipid and amino acid pathways linked to NAFLD pathogenesis (Jin et al. 2020). However, an adult study reported that serum PFHxS was inversely associated with hepatic lobular inflammation in morbidly obese bariatric surgery patients (Rantakokko et al. 2015). A study of heavily exposed workers (n = 462, geometric mean serum PFOA of 4048 ng/mL) detected significantly increased incident mortality for cirrhosis (relative risk = 3.87, 95% CI 1.18–12.7) and liver cancer (relative risk = 6.69, 95% CI 1.71–26.2) compared to a regional population (Girardi and Merler 2019), whereas no PFAS association to cancer or advanced liver disease was reported in a 3M worker cohort or in the C8 Health study population (Lundin et al. 2009; Barry et al. 2013; Vieira et al. 2013).

Emerging animal toxicology and histology and human population data provide mechanistic clues that PFAS disrupt hepatic metabolism, leading to increased bile acid reuptake and lipid accumulation in liver (Salihovic et al. 2020; Schlezinger et al. 2020). A review of NAFLD and toxicant exposure concluded that PFAS are associated with early steatosis (“fatty liver”), the preclinical stage of NAFLD (Armstrong and Guo 2019).

Lipid and insulin dysregulation

Cross-sectional and longitudinal investigations indicate that PFAS increase serum total and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in adults and children (Steenland et al. 2009; Frisbee et al. 2010; Nelson et al. 2010; Eriksen et al. 2013; Fisher et al. 2013; Fitz-Simon et al. 2013; Geiger et al. 2013; Fu et al. 2014; Starling et al. 2014; Winquist and Steenland 2014a; Skuladottir et al. 2015; Zeng et al. 2015; Koshy et al. 2017; Convertino et al. 2018; He et al. 2018; Seo et al. 2018; Dong et al. 2019; Lin et al. 2019; Li et al. 2020; Liu G et al. 2020), including clinically defined high cholesterol (Steenland et al. 2009; Winquist and Steenland 2014a; Lin et al. 2019). Studies of large populations, featuring wide exposure ranges, demonstrate that serum lipids rapidly increase beginning at background (1–10 ng/mL) serum concentration and then are followed by attenuating (“plateaued”) cholesterol measurements as (log-transformed) exposures to long-chain PFAS increase (Steenland et al. 2009; Frisbee et al. 2010; Li et al. 2020). These findings suggest partially saturable mechanisms; thus, the cholesterol dose response at pharmacologic or acutely toxic doses should be viewed with caution; associations can be missed or may be misleading when an environmental range of exposure is absent. At background exposure levels, residual associations may be more detectable in obese participants (Timmermann et al. 2014; Jain and Ducatman 2019d), a finding congruent with experimental PFAS outcomes in rodents fed “Western” or high-fat diets (Tan et al. 2013; Quist et al. 2015; Rebholz et al. 2016). Human gene expression pathways provide support for an interaction of obesity and PFAS exposures and suggest possible sex differences (Fletcher et al. 2013). A pharmaco*kinetic model predicts that approximately half of the PFOS-exposed population would experience a >20% rise in serum cholesterol (Chou and Lin 2020). Risk-assessment implications for low-PFAS dose increases in cholesterol have been noted (New Jersey Drinking Water Quality Institute Health Effects Subcommittee 2017; Li et al. 2020), and a review of population and toxicity data concluded that dyslipidemia is the strongest metabolic outcome of PFAS exposure (Sunderland et al. 2019).

Human PFAS lipid findings may be related to experimental findings of induced adipogenesis, impaired bile acid metabolism/synthesis, strongly decreased CYP7A1 enzyme activity, altered fatty acid transport, and intracellular lipid accumulation with steatosis, including in PPAR-α-null or PPAR-α-humanized animals (Guruge et al. 2006; Lau et al. 2007; Bijland et al. 2011; Bjork et al. 2011; Wang et al. 2014; Filgo et al. 2015; Das et al. 2017; Salihovic et al. 2019; Zhang et al. 2019; Behr et al. 2020a; Liu S et al. 2020b; Schlezinger et al. 2020). Independent of PFAS exposure, similar alterations in metabolic pathways have been related to disrupted fatty acid beta-oxidation and increased free cholesterol in toxicology studies (Perla et al. 2017).

Cross-sectional studies of diabetes outcomes can be misleading for reasons discussed in the renal section (see section Kidney disease, uric acid, and kidney cancer). Emerging longitudinal and diabetes clinical trial data indicate that PFAS may increase human insulin resistance, associated with dysregulated lipogenesis activity (Alderete et al. 2019; Lin et al. 2019). Longitudinal studies of clinically diagnosed diabetes patients have sometimes associated PFAS exposures with diabetes (Sun et al. 2018) or with small changes in glycemic markers (Cardenas et al. 2017); however, diabetes associations to date are not consistent (Karnes et al. 2014; Cardenas et al. 2017; Donat-Vargas et al. 2019). Future studies should consider whether PFAS may instigate autoimmune diabetic outcomes in humans, as shown in experimental studies (Bodin et al. 2016). Experimental data reveal that PFAS activate G protein-coupled receptor 40, a free fatty acid-regulated membrane receptor on islet ß cells, stimulating insulin secretion (Qin et al. 2020; Zhang L et al. 2020).

Kidney disease, uric acid, and kidney cancer

Extended human half-lives of long-chain PFAS are attributed to active renal tubular reabsorption. Of concern, legacy PFAS such as PFOA and PFOS are concentrated in renal tissues, and histopathologic, molecular, oxidative stress, and epigenetic studies provide evidence of potential nephrotoxicity (Wen et al. 2016; Stanifer et al. 2018; Sakuma et al. 2019; Rashid et al. 2020). In addition, the strong influence of kidney reabsorption on the extended half-lives of long-chain PFAS is consistent with both human protein binding and experimental PFAS excretion data.

Human studies have associated legacy PFAS exposure to diminished glomerular filtration and/or defined chronic kidney disease in adults and children (Shankar et al. 2011; Watkins et al. 2013; Kataria et al. 2015; Blake et al. 2018). However, this outcome may be due to reverse causation (Watkins et al. 2013; Dhingra et al. 2017). Some reviews of the available epidemiologic and toxicologic evidence suggest causative links between PFAS and diminished kidney function and chronic kidney disease (Stanifer et al. 2018; Ferrari et al. 2019); these authors also note several knowledge gaps and uncertainty about which proposed mechanisms of action are most important. A propensity score approach to NHANES data (Jain and Ducatman 2019c; Zhao et al. 2020) and a study with repeated PFAS and health measures over an 18-yr period (Blake et al. 2018) recently concluded that PFAS exposure likely causes diminished renal glomerular filtration.

Uric acid, a biomarker of increased risk for renal disease (Obermayr et al. 2008), is also consistently associated with PFAS exposure in adults and children (Steenland et al. 2010; Geiger et al. 2013; Gleason et al. 2015; Kataria et al. 2015; Qin et al. 2016; Zeng et al. 2019), including a visible dose-response curve that begins at or near historic background levels in human populations (Steenland et al. 2010; Zeng et al. 2019). Serum PFAS concentrations exhibit an inverted U-shaped pattern related to glomerular filtration, initially exhibiting a modest accumulation as glomerular filtration begins to decrease and then decreasing in advancing renal disease, likely due to failure of normal strong reabsorption mechanisms in moderate to severe kidney disease (Jain and Ducatman 2019c). This finding is more dramatic across stages of glomerular filtration when there is also albuminuria (Jain and Ducatman 2019b). Studies suggest that the association of PFAS to uric acid is not due to reverse causation and is underestimated because the failing kidney excretes long-chain PFAS but retains uric acid. An implication is that population outcomes that occur in the presence of either albuminuria or moderate to severe renal disease such as hypertension (Jain 2020) increasing presence of and uric acid (a biomarker of renal disease; Jain and Ducatman 2019a; Zeng et al. 2019) can be underestimated in cross-sectional studies; in other words, the link between these health outcomes and PFAS exposure is obscured in these studies because of enhanced PFAS excretion patterns in the presence of either albuminuria or moderate to severe kidney disease. Furthermore, the strong influence of renal reabsorption on the long half-lives of long chain PFAS is consistent with both human protein binding of PFAS and experimental PFAS excretion rates in high-dose rodent studies (Cheng and Ng 2017).

Kidney cancer diagnoses have been increasing since 1975, a finding that is partially independent of improved detection, with 5-yr cancer-specific survival of approximately 80% (Gandaglia et al. 2014). The C8 Health studies noted longitudinal (n = 32 254) increases of kidney cancer (hazard ratio = 1.10, 95% CI 0.98–1.24) and kidney cancer mortality (Steenland and Woskie 2012; Barry et al. 2013; Vieira et al. 2013). A review of 6 published studies found long-chain PFAS exposure associated with kidney cancer or kidney cancer mortality, with risks ranging from 1.07 to 12.8 (Stanifer et al. 2018). Subsequent preliminary data from the heavily exposed Veneto, Italy, population also suggest a significant increase in kidney cancer mortality with PFAS exposure (Mastrantonio et al. 2018). Evidence is accumulating for PFAS as a cause of chronic disease and kidney cancer. Study designs must consider the peculiar PFAS excretion mechanics involved in and associated with kidney disease.

Reproductive and developmental outcomes

Exposure to PFOA impairs human sperm motility and sperm penetration into viscous media (Sabovic et al. 2020; Yuan et al. 2020) and is longitudinally associated with lower sperm concentration and count and higher adjusted levels of luteinizing and follicle-stimulating hormones in young men (Joensen et al. 2009; Vested et al. 2013; Song et al. 2018). Serum concentrations of PFAS are also cross-sectionally associated with deleterious markers of sem*n quality (Louis et al. 2015; Pan et al. 2019).

Legacy and emerging PFAS have been found in follicular fluid (Kang et al. 2020). They appear to alter endometrial regulation such as progesterone activity in young women (Di Nisio et al. 2020b) and possibly menstrual cycle length (Lum et al. 2017). Associations with menarche and menopause may be substantially due to reverse causation because menstruation is a route by which women eliminate PFAS (Dhingra et al. 2017), partially explaining why men have higher PFAS levels than women in the same communities. Women on birth control and who do not menstruate or with poor cyclicity because of age, activity level, or disease may have elevated PFAS levels in comparison with menstruating women. Exposure to PFAS has been associated with endometriosis in the United States and in China (Louis et al. 2012; Campbell et al. 2016; Wang B et al. 2017a), but the specific PFAS associated with this effect vary among studies.

Time-to-pregnancy (fecundity) studies provide indirect evidence of changes in fertility. Methodologic considerations include maternal and paternal age, parity (which in turn affects serum PFAS), and health status. Among 1240 women in the Danish National Birth Cohort, PFOS exposure was associated with decreased fecundity (median serum PFOS 35.5 ng/mL; Fei et al. 2009). Reverse causation may explain this finding because it is duplicated in parous, but not among nonparous, women (Whitworth et al. 2012; Bach et al. 2015). Prospective odds of actual infertility in the Maternal-Infant Research on Environmental Chemicals cohort (n = 1743) at low-dose exposures were associated with PFOA (geometric mean 1.66 ng/mL; odds ratio = 1.31, 95% CI 1.11–1.53) and PFHxS (odds ratio = 1.27, 95% CI 1.09–1.48; Velez et al. 2015). The reported fertility rate improved following water filtration in a PFAS-contaminated community (incidence rate ratio 0.73, 95% CI 0.69–0.77 prior to filtration) along with measures of birth weight (Waterfield et al. 2020).

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances reliably move across the placenta and enter breast milk (Gyllenhammar et al. 2018; VanNoy et al. 2018); serum PFAS levels in young children generally exceed maternal serum concentrations (Fromme et al. 2010; Papadopoulou et al. 2016; Eryasa et al. 2019). Population studies provide evidence that breastfeeding duration and milk quantity are adversely affected by PFAS exposure (Romano et al. 2016; Timmermann et al. 2017b; Rosen et al. 2018).

A systematic review reported that PFOA exposure was associated with a small decrease in infant birth weight; the meta-analysis estimated that a 1-ng/mL increase in PFOA was associated with an approximately 19-g reduction (95% CI −29.8 to −7.9 g) in birth weight (Lam et al. 2014). The authors noted similarities in experimental studies (Johnson et al. 2014; Koustas et al. 2014) and concluded that there was “sufficient” human and corroborative toxicology evidence of a detrimental effect of PFOA on birth weight (Johnson et al. 2014; Koustas et al. 2014; Lam et al. 2014). However, another meta-subpopulation analysis, focused on early pregnancy or the time shortly before conception, detected only a small and nonsignificant association, which was less subject to bias (Steenland et al. 2018a). Different approaches to the possible confounding role of shifting glomerular filtration rates in pregnancy can affect interpretations; evidence suggests this consideration can, at most, only partially explain associations of PFAS exposure to decreased birth weight (Interstate Technology and Regulatory Council 2020; Wikstrom et al. 2020). A recent review of mostly prospective cohort studies (n = 24 studies) noted PFAS associated with altered fetal and postnatal growth measures, such as lower birth weight. Many (n = 22) of the relevant studies suggest developmental and childhood immunomodulatory effects, whereas 21 studies concerning neurodevelopment were inconclusive (Liew et al. 2018). The authors of the review noted methodologic challenges of developmental and newborn epidemiology, including consideration of critical exposure windows for developmental effects, the effects of breastfeeding and parity on maternal PFAS levels, and the variety of possible mechanistic explanations for growth outcomes, such as disruption of glucocorticoid and thyroid hormone metabolism in utero (Liew et al. 2018). Recent Faroe Island studies report that prenatal PFAS effects on thyroid hormone status do not support a causal relationship (Xiao et al. 2020).

Review articles suggest that prenatal exposure to PFOA may increase risk of subsequent childhood adiposity, noting that steroid hormones, retinoid X receptor, and other pathways may be contributing to this effect (Halldorsson et al. 2012; Hall and Greco 2019). Prospective evidence supports this relationship in adults with a high risk of diabetes (Cardenas et al. 2017). However, some well-performed community studies do not support this outcome in adults or children (Barry et al. 2014; Martinsson et al. 2020).

Based on several preliminary findings, supported by longitudinal follow-up studies (Stein et al. 2009; Savitz et al. 2012; Darrow et al. 2013; Avanasi et al. 2016a, 2016b), the C8 Science Panel concluded that PFOA is probably linked to pregnancy-induced hypertension or preeclampsia. Population-level evidence implicating additional PFAS having this effect has included studies with longitudinal designs (Huang et al. 2019; Wikstrom et al. 2019; Borghese et al. 2020). Experimental support includes PFAS effects on human trophoblast migration in vitro (Szilagyi et al. 2020) and recent evidence of PFOA and GenX (or hexafluoropropylene oxide dimer acid) effects on mouse placenta, as well as excessive gestational weight gain (Blake et al. 2020). However, a recent longitudinal study did not find an association of PFAS with pregnancy-associated hypertension (Huo et al. 2020).

The possibility that circulating PFAS may reduce bone mineral density has been investigated. Cross-sectional and practical trial associations have been found in adults (Lin et al. 2014; Hu et al. 2019; Di Nisio et al. 2020a), and there is emerging longitudinal evidence from a mother and child pair study indicating that children may also be affected (Cluett et al. 2019).

Testicular cancer diagnoses are increasing steadily, a trend unrelated to improved detection (Cheng et al. 2018; Park et al. 2018). Most patients diagnosed (>90%) will be cured and die of other causes; mortality studies therefore provide little help in understanding disease risk factors. The C8 Science Panel detected longitudinal evidence for increased testicular cancer risk (1.35, 95% CI 1.00–1.79) for cumulative PFOA exposure (Barry et al. 2013). There are ample supportive data of testicular damage following PFAS exposure, including strong evidence of endocrine disruption; but the cell-specific associations are different in humans (germ cell) than the outcomes in rodents (stromal).

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances have deleterious effects on conception, pregnancy, and infant development. The underlying birth weight data are mostly supportive, although the subsequent growth and adiposity literature is mixed. The most sensitive reproductive and developmental outcomes are a topic of ongoing discussion.

Outcomes replicated across populations, such as perfluorocarboxylate (PFCA) and perfluorosulfonate (PFSA) exposures associated with down-regulation of immune response; increases in cholesterol, liver enzymes, and uric acid; alterations in thyroid hormone binding proteins; growth deficits; and effects on breast milk and lactation, indicate priority areas for understanding mechanisms and health implications.

TABLE 1:

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances serum half-life estimates in rat, mouse, monkey, and humans

Hepatic and metabolic toxicity

In rodent studies, dose-dependent increases in liver weight, in hepatocellular hypertrophy associated with vacuole formation, and with or without increased peroxisome proliferation have been observed with a significant body burden of PFAS, especially for the most persistent and potent long-chain hom*ologs. Hepatocyte proliferation, necrosis, and apoptosis are outcomes occurring at relatively low doses. This is also true for a new replacement chemical, GenX, which altered liver histopathology and function and increased apoptosis in mice and fish (Blake et al. 2020; Guillette et al. 2020). Correspondingly, transcriptional activation of mouse and, to a lesser extent, human PPARα-related genes in liver was detected in adult-exposed models; activation of other nuclear receptors such as PPARγ, constitutive androstane receptor (CAR), and pregnane X-receptor (PXR) has also been reported. These nuclear receptors, metabolic sensors that regulate lipid and glucose metabolism and transport and inflammation, tend to be more responsive in tissues of rodents than in humans (Wolf et al. 2012; Rosen et al. 2017). Recent work using developmental models reports that mitochondrial dysfunction is associated with hepatocellular hypertrophy in young adult mice (Quist et al., 2015) and that other fatty acid metabolism pathways are activated (Jones et al. 2003; Shabalina et al. 2016). Steatosis is also a common feature of PFAS chronic exposure in rodents. Exposure in rodent models typically decreases serum cholesterol, whereas elevations of circulating cholesterol levels have been reported in humans. The mode of action concerning serum cholesterol is debatable. For example, PFOA exposure increased liver weight, increased liver enzymes, and led to persistent histopathological changes (particularly damage to the bile duct) in livers of wild-type and PPARα-null rodent strains (reviewed in Division of Science and Research, New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection 2019). Many of these effects are reversible on cessation of PFAS exposure, and this observation has been interpreted by some as evidence of “adaptive” responses to exposure. However, this reversibility is irrelevant to ongoing environmental PFAS exposure (for instance, from drinking water) because exposure will persist until contamination is remediated. In summary, there is a strong confluence of animal toxicology and histology and human population data that PFAS disrupt hepatic metabolism and lead to lipid accumulation in liver, although the mechanism(s) is unclear. Effects on bile acid metabolism, mitochondrial perturbation, and cholestatic mechanisms deserve further investigation at human-relevant exposures.

Reproductive and developmental toxicity

Only a few reproductive toxicity studies of males and females are available, primarily focusing on long-chain PFAS. Profound developmental toxicity has been described following gestational and lactational exposure to PFOS, PFOA, and PFNA in mice (Thibodeaux et al. 2003; Lau et al. 2006; Das et al. 2015) and in mice and rats gestationally exposed to GenX (Conley et al. 2019; Blake et al. 2020). Neonatal morbidity and mortality were seen with exposure to high doses of legacy PFAS; growth deficits and developmental delays were noted in offspring exposed to lower doses. Evidence of lactation impairment was seen in mice at doses of 5 mg PFOA/kg body weight (White et al. 2007), leading to increased offspring mortality (Lau et al. 2006); recent studies have indicated a role of placental dysfunction in these adverse developmental outcomes (Blake et al. 2020). Deficits of mammary gland development were also observed in mice exposed to PFOA (doses of 1 mg/kg body wt and lower) during gestation, which persisted into adulthood, although these exposure levels did not alter body weight, lactational function, or neonatal growth of offspring (F1 or F2 mice; Macon et al. 2011; White et al. 2011b; Tucker et al. 2015). Systematic reviews support a relationship between in utero exposure to PFOA and PFOS and reduced fetal growth in animals and humans, and the relationship between PFOA and reduced fetal growth in mice was recently validated (Koustas et al. 2014; Blake et al. 2020). Also, PFAS are reported to have reproductive effects such as ovulation failure in mice (Zhang Y et al. 2020).

Immunotoxicity

A few long-chain PFAS (PFOS, PFOA, PFNA, and PFDA) have been shown to alter immune status in rodents and non-human primates. Effects are predominantly immunosuppressive and include reductions in thymus and spleen weights and associated immune cell populations, in numbers of circulating immune cells, in certain aspects of innate immunity (i.e., natural killer cell cytotoxicity), in infectious disease resistance, and in antibodies produced in response to an antigen (i.e., analogous to the vaccine response in humans). In their 2018 draft Toxicological Profile for Perfluoroalkyls, the US Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) noted changes to the aforementioned immune parameters observed in experimental rodents exposed to PFOA, PFOS, PFNA, PFHxS, PFDA, perfluorobutanesulfonic acid (PFBS), or perfluorobutanoic acid (PFBA; Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry 2018). The US National Toxicology Program conducted a systematic review of the immunotoxicological literature for PFOA and PFOS and concluded that PFOA and PFOS were presumed to be immune hazards to humans based on a high level of evidence for suppression of antibody responses in experimental animals and a moderate level of evidence for suppression of antibody responses in humans (National Toxicology Program 2016). The ATSDR (Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry 2018) also included a decreased antibody response to vaccines (PFOA, PFOS, PFHxS, and PFDA) and increased risk of asthma diagnosis (PFOA) among the list of adverse health effects in PFAS-exposed humans. Reduction in the antibody response to a vaccine, an adaptive immune function, is a well-accepted measure of immunotoxicity, is consistent with the mode of action for the effects of fatty acids on immune system function (Fritsche 2006), and is compelling evidence that the immune system is a sensitive target of PFAS.

Tumor induction

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances are not known to be directly mutagenic; PFOA, PFOS, and other tested PFAS show little or no evidence for induction of gene mutation, clastogenicity, or aneuploidy in vitro or in vivo by a direct mode of action (see EFSA Panel on Contaminants in the Food Chain [2020] for details). There is evidence that PFAS can induce DNA damage, such as strand breaks, and other genotoxic effects, secondary to oxidative stress (EFSA Panel on Contaminants in the Food Chain 2020). This occurs at concentrations or doses that are high relative to human environmental exposures to PFAS, and the mechanism is such that their dose-response will be sublinear. Hence, PFAS are unlikely to be of mutagenic concern in exposed populations.

In adult-exposed rodents and fish, PFOA and PFOS have been shown to induce tumors. Liver adenomas, pancreatic acinar cell tumors, and testicular Leydig cell adenomas have been detected in rats treated chronically with PFOA (IARC Working Group on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans 2017) as well as its replacement, GenX (Caverly Rae et al. 2015). Following gestational and chronic exposure to PFOA, 58% of male rats demonstrated pancreatic tumors at the lowest dose administered (National Toxicology Program 2020b). This finding has spurred Minnesota and California policymakers to consider cancer as an endpoint in risk assessment, whereas the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA Panel on Contaminants in the Food Chain 2020) has the opinion that there is not adequate evidence for a link between exposure to PFAS and cancer risk in humans. This “tumor triad” profile has been associated with the PPARα-mediated molecular signaling pathway in rats exposed to high doses of PFAS. Consequently, liver tumors involving this mode of action are not considered relevant to humans at equivalent PFAS exposures (Post et al. 2017). The human relevance of PPARα-mediated pancreatic tumors in rodents remains to be determined. Liver lesions evident in PPARα-null mice exposed to PFOA during pregnancy and lactation (Filgo et al. 2015) suggest a non-PPARα-mediated liver response. Induction of liver tumors mediated by estrogen receptor (ER) activation has also been reported in fish (Tilton et al. 2008), and several non-PPARα-mediated hypotheses, including increased reactive oxygen species formation, oxidative stress, and mitochondrial dysfunction; decreased tumor cell surveillance by the immune system; and diminished gap junction cellular communication, are documented (IARC Working Group on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans 2017; New Jersey Drinking Water Quality Institute Health Effects Subcommittee 2017).

Endocrine disruption

The primary evidence for the endocrine-disrupting potential of PFAS involves induction of hypothyroxinemia and reduction of serum testosterone in rats. An early review of PFAS endocrine-disrupting properties in humans concluded that the “thyroid may be one axis significantly affected by PFOA exposure while the animal toxicology literature is less certain due to technical issues” (White et al. 2011a).

The effects of PFAS on thyroid hormone status detected in animal studies differ from classical hypothyroidism, in that reduction of circulating total thyroxine is not accompanied by a compensatory increase of TSH. A possible mechanism for these effects may be related to the propensity of protein binding of legacy PFAS, which could lead to displaced total thyroxine binding to its carrier proteins (transthyretin and thyroxine-binding globulin). Human population studies augment animal data showing that PFAS interact with thyroid hormone binding proteins (Berg et al. 2015; Ren et al. 2016; Zhang J et al. 2016a), one of several mechanisms by which PFAS can perturb feedback relationships between free thyroid hormone available to cells (free total thyroxine) and the hypothalamic-pituitary axis. Some estrogenic effects of PFAS have also been illustrated by in vitro studies, although there is no evidence of direct transactivation of estrogen, androgen, or glucocorticoid receptors (Behr et al. 2018, 2020b).

The evidence for PFAS affecting ER signaling in humans and animals is mixed. Although studies have identified some PFAS as being without estrogenic activity (Behr et al. 2018; Borghoff et al. 2018; Gogola et al. 2019), others suggest an ability of PFAS to modulate or even activate ER-mediated effects (Benninghoff et al. 2010; Kjeldsen and Bonefeld-Jørgensen 2013; Wang et al. 2018; Bjerregaard-Olesen et al. 2019; Qiu et al. 2020), with some effects only observed in aquatic organisms (Wei et al. 2009; Chen et al. 2016, 2018). Microarray analyses of human primary hepatocytes confirmed that PFOA activated the ER pathway (Buhrke et al. 2015).

Neurotoxicity

Potential adverse effects of PFAS on the nervous system and functions have not been widely investigated. A few studies reported neurotoxicity of PFOS, PFHxS, and PFOA in cell culture systems (Slotkin et al. 2008), as well as altered behavioral responses (Goulding et al. 2017) and deficits in learning and memory ability in rodents (Viberg et al. 2013). In contrast, no significant developmental neurotoxic effects were seen from prenatal exposure to PFOS in USEPA guideline-based studies with rats (Butenhoff et al. 2009).

Obesity

Numerous cell-based assays in human and mouse pre-adipocytes and animal studies with and without high-fat diets have consistently shown that some PFAS have the potential to increase lipid production by adipocytes and fat pads (van Esterik et al. 2016). Exposure of pregnant mice to low doses of PFOA produced obesity in young adult female offspring (Hines et al. 2009; van Esterik et al. 2016), a finding that was re-capitulated in Danish women exposed in utero to PFOA (Halldorsson et al. 2012). Both PFOA and GenX increased weight gain of pregnant mice (Blake et al. 2020), an effect also seen in women during pregnancy (Ashley-Martin et al. 2016), although discordant results have been reported in other studies (Barry et al. 2014; Ngo et al. 2014). These apparently disparate findings in experimental models may be associated with differences among mouse strains examined, exposure periods, statistical methodology, and/or the rodent diets used.

There are specific differences in human and rodent health outcomes that deserve further investigation: 1) cholesterol metabolism, 2) thyroid effects, 3) mode of action for liver effects (different or same), and 4) kidney transporter or other mode of action leading to large differences in half-life. However, species concordance in the 6 human health effects discussed in the present review supports a weight of evidence for these effect for the handful of extensively studied PFAS.

Human health advisory and guidance values for a few PFAS have been issued to date by the USEPA, the ATSDR, several individual state environmental agencies or health departments, as well as regulatory agencies in Canada and Europe that are largely (but not exclusively) based on toxicological findings in animal models. However, risk-assessment scientists have not reached consensus in selecting a singular apical endpoint as the basis for a point of departure for assessments. Three toxicological features of PFAS that have been commonly highlighted, based on their sensitivity (low dose effect), strength of evidence (robust corroborating studies with mechanistic support for human relevance), and corresponding findings noted in epidemiological investigation, are hepatotoxicity (and alterations in lipid metabolism), developmental toxicity, and immunotoxicity. It should be noted that apical endpoints that drive risk assessments often differ among individual PFAS, perhaps highlighting the complexity of these chemicals and the family of PFAS, in general.

Species and sex differences

Few of the substantial number of structurally diverse PFAS have been tested for toxicological effects. Some available toxicological information has come from studies in animals, where marked species and (in rat) sex differences in half-life for some PFAS (Table 1) have been observed and the relevance to humans is uncertain. These differences are due to toxico*kinetic and toxicodynamic factors. There are also differences in mean PFAS serum levels between men and women in the same communities. Children may have elevated serum levels compared to parents, even with the same exposures (Emmett et al. 2006; Daly et al. 2018; Graber et al. 2019), for reasons relating to transplacental transfer, breastfeeding, and body mass (Emmett et al. 2006; Daly et al. 2018; Graber et al. 2019; Blake et al. 2020). Transplacental transfer of PFAS confers a substantial burden to the newborn infant. Because the infant has a smaller overall mass and blood volume, PFAS are concentrated, increasing PFAS per volume (Koponen et al. 2018). In addition, transfer of PFAS is common through lactation, and the longer a child breastfeeds, the higher the body burden (Gyllenhammar et al. 2018; VanNoy et al. 2018).

Effects of comorbidity on PFAS toxico*kinetics

Factors affecting renal function can influence PFAS toxico*kinetics. As discussed, opposing types of causation should be considered. Human toxico*kinetics appear to vary bidirectionally with changing renal function, leading to nonmonotonic dose-response relationships and, depending on the study goal, possibly to errors in estimating disease associations. As progress is made in the field of PFAS toxico*kinetics, new chemistries may have different clearance factors and nuances that vary by PFAS group or structures, and that will need to be investigated to accurately model half-lives in different exposure subgroups.

Sources of information on toxico*kinetics in humans: strengths and limitations of studies

Some PFAS half-life data in humans were obtained from retired industry workers, particularly those who worked with PFOS, PFOA, and PFHxS (Olsen et al. 2007). Since then, these estimates have been modified slightly or confirmed with longitudinal data and modeling from contaminated communities once uncontaminated water options were provided (Bartell et al. 2010; Li et al. 2018). Other contemporary PFAS estimates are derived from biomonitoring studies of production workers, blood donors, study participants, and/or occupationally exposed cohorts (Olsen et al. 2009, 2017; Russell et al. 2013; Zhang et al. 2013). Some caution must be taken in using these data because variables affecting PFAS clearance may not be taken into consideration (age, sex, menstruation, disease, and medication status) and may contribute to confounding.

The challenge in determining a reliable human half-life in these types of studies is that exposure does not end with a clean water source, retirement, or a change of job and that continued exposures vary over potential depuration periods. Model components may also vary in subclasses. Children (small blood volumes and a large fraction of exposures comes from drinking), pregnant women (large increase in blood volume and water intake), parous women (transfer to fetus and breast milk), and athletes (water intake elevated) are examples of subpopulations with expected variation in half-life compared to adult men (Post et al. 2017). There will be more human estimates of PFAS forthcoming that involve variations in half-life (Post et al. 2017). Realistic computational modeling can help, so long as it clearly characterizes exposures and applicable populations. The continued goal should be to provide predictive values for those PFAS lacking actual measurements, based on chemical structures and trusted physiological parameters.

Physiologically based pharmaco*kinetic/toxico*kinetic modeling in different-aged populations

In the blood and other tissues, PFAS toxico*kinetics are influenced by their interactions with proteins (Andersen et al. 2006; Katakura et al. 2007; Nakagawa et al. 2008; Weaver et al. 2009; Figure 2). Certain toxico*kinetic features are saturable, and thus dosing in toxico*kinetic studies is of profound importance. Studies of renal reabsorption mechanisms in mammals show that reduced activity of transporters such as organic anion transporting polypeptide 1a1, through inactivation (e.g., genetic manipulation, castration, treatment with estrogen) or by saturation at increasing doses, leads to substantial reductions in half-lives of PFOA and PFOS (Andersen et al. 2006; Nakagawa et al. 2008; Weaver et al. 2009; Yang et al. 2009).

These protein-associated toxico*kinetic processes were recently incorporated into a model for PFOA in the male Sprague-Dawley rat (Cheng and Ng 2017), which provides a useful platform to explore how changes in protein interactions might affect estimates of PFAS half-life (Figure 3). At high doses, it is typical to see clear biphasic behavior with rapid initial clearance, during which the serum half-life appears to be shorter especially at high enough doses that processes such as renal reabsorption are saturated, followed by a much longer tail (Figure 3A). In a similar fashion, the magnitude of internal dose and rate of serum clearance can be profoundly influenced by proteins known to bind PFAS, such as serum albumin (Figure 3B). Increasing and decreasing the extent of reabsorption in the kidney increases and decreases the serum half-life, respectively (Figure 3C). Finally, the effect of saturating reabsorption is magnified when the half-life is longer because of increased serum binding (Figure 3D). In this case, taking an initial slope to calculate the serum half-life at high doses would lead to a profound underestimation.

Differences in protein expression, circulating levels, and even protein type across populations, sex, and species could lead to important species and sex differences in PFAS biological half-lives (Han et al. 2012); such differences should be investigated and taken into account in the extrapolation to human equivalent doses. Because expression of proteins may change at different life stages, clearance factors and toxico*kinetics may also change.

Given the large number of species-, sex-, and age-specific differences that have been observed, coupled with the lack of data for many PFAS, the parameterization of complex physiologically based toxico*kinetic models remains a persistent challenge. Therefore, lower-resolution models (e.g., one-compartment or few-compartment models) may be more appropriate for species and settings where insufficient data are available for reasonably accurate parameterization. Alternatively, in silico and in vitro methods are under development that could aid in parameterization in the absence of in vivo data, as discussed in the section New approaches for developing PFAS toxicity information.

Importance of determining mode of action and adverse outcome pathways

Information on modes of action and/or adverse outcome pathways (AOPs) is invaluable in 1) establishing human relevance of experimental evidence, 2) assessing causality in epidemiological studies, 3) applying “read-across” to PFAS for which there is little toxicological information, 4) assessing risks from mixtures, 5) guiding development and interpretation of new approach methodologies, 6) informing the development of biomarkers in epidemiologic investigation, and 7) identifying potentially vulnerable subpopulations and life stage-specific effects (Meek et al. 2014; LaLone et al. 2017). Verified modes of action and AOPs can inform risk assessment based on intermediate effects and enable development of new methodology-based approaches to assess PFAS safety (Meek et al. 2014).

Postulated modes of action/AOPs for PFAS

Mechanistic studies have been performed on only a few PFAS. These have been shown to activate a range of putative molecular initiating targets, among which are the nuclear receptors PPARα, PPARγ, PPARβ/δ, CAR, PXR, liver X receptor α, and ERα (Bijland et al. 2011; Bjork et al. 2011; Rosen et al. 2017; Li et al. 2019). However, modes of action verified by agreed procedures (World Health Organization 2020) have been established for few reported effects of PFAS, and those that have been interrogated involve activation of PPARα and, at higher doses, CAR as molecular initiating events (Klaunig et al. 2012; Rosen et al. 2017). Several AOPs involving these molecular targets are in various stages of development (Organisation for Economic Co-operation Development 2020), but few have been endorsed by the OECD following its agreed procedures (Organisation for Economic Co-operation Development 2017). Demonstration of receptor activation alone is insufficient to establish involvement of a mode of action or AOP in an observed effect, for which an overall weight-of-evidence approach is necessary (World Health Organization 2020).

Andersen et al. (2007) provide a useful, albeit dated, review of possible PFAS modes of action. Established modes of action are restricted largely to the liver and include species-specific hepatic hyperplasia and liver tumors (Butenhoff et al. 2012; Elcombe et al. 2012; Corton et al. 2018). Available studies on PFBS, PFHxS, perfluorohexanoic acid, PFNA and PFDA suggest that they share molecular targets with similar consequences, albeit with differences in potency, in part due to differences in their excretion and protein-interaction kinetics (Zeilmaker et al. 2018). However, studies in vitro have established intrinsic differences in potency among PFAS analogues. Potency in activating PPARα showed some relationship with PFAS chain length (Wolf et al. 2008). A mode of action or AOP provides a causal chain of key events between chemical exposure and outcome. The established modes of action for PFOS and PFOA provide a causal explanation for development of liver tumors observed in rodents on exposure to these compounds, through activation of PPARα, and the possible relevance to humans. However, this does not mean that other effects of PFAS are due to activation of PPARα or that other pathways might not lead to liver tumors in humans, such as secondary to the primary effect of steatosis.

Until recently, there has been little study of modes of action/AOPs for effects of PFAS other than hepatic outcomes in rodents, particularly for critical effects, such as immunosuppression and developmental toxicity, and from PFAS other than PFOS and PFOA (EFSA Panel on Contaminants in the Food Chain 2020; Temkin et al. 2020). The ability of various PFAS to interact with and modify lipid metabolism is, however, an intriguing hypothesis (Xu et al. 1999; Jones et al. 2003; Andersen et al. 2007; Tan et al. 2013; Pouwer et al. 2019). Other putative molecular initiating/key events for PFAS, in addition to nuclear receptor activation, include gap junctional inhibition to disrupt cell-cell communication, mitochondrial dysfunction, interference of protein binding, partitioning into lipid bilayers, oxidative stress, altered calcium homeostasis, and inappropriate activation of molecular signals controlling cell functions. Many of these effects are consistent with a nonspecific action of PFAS on the cellular lipid membrane (Spector and Yorek 1985; Bourre et al. 1989; Dodes Traian et al. 2012; Casares et al. 2019). However, these alternative events lack robust evidence to support a specific pathophysiological role in the multifaceted effects of PFAS. A better characterization of the modes of action/AOPs for PFAS toxicities remains an important area of future investigation, necessary to improve our understanding of PFAS impacts on human health.

At present, there is insufficient evidence to determine which of, and to what extent, these molecular interactions play a pathophysiological role in observed adverse outcomes of PFAS (Michigan PFAS Science Advisory Panel 2018). Hence, there is a need to integrate such mechanistic information into a weight-of-evidence framework, first by establishing the mode of action or AOP linking a proposed chain of key events to an adverse outcome and then by demonstrating that at human exposure levels of PFAS the established AOP or mode of action is causal in the adverse outcome observed. The substantial advantage offered by such an approach is the ability to read across from representative members of appropriate PFAS groupings, based on quantitative information from new approach methodologies and exposure estimates. Hence, better characterization of the modes of action/AOPs for PFAS toxicities remains a critical area of future investigation and will allow us to understand which adversely PFAS-modified pathways must be interrogated prior to new chemicals joining this class. Predicting PFAS activity in the body should be the goal prior to approving novel PFAS for use.

New approaches for developing PFAS toxicity information

When it comes to determining which PFAS should be prioritized for further testing, there are too many chemicals, even in one subclass, for traditional approaches. Numerous creative and high-throughput methodologies are being developed and tested to provide valuable data on PFAS with no toxicity data.

Future epidemiological studies

Future human studies need to characterize immune outcomes including (and not limited to) immune effects from exposure in early pregnancy and possible roles of PFAS in initiating allergic and autoimmune processes, conditions for which a dose response is hard to predict. Interactions of immune pathways with liver and lipid toxicity deserve additional consideration.

Liver and lipid studies have reasonably characterized associations between PFAS and effects and should now address why and what to do about it. Characterization of possible a priori susceptibility, such as in the obese, is important. Human and animal lipid data suggest that future experimental studies should focus on mitochondrial toxicity, alterations in bile acid metabolism, cholestasis, and resultant steatosis. These outcomes are already known to be associated with altered serum lipids, liver enzymes, and uric acid in the human population regardless of PFAS (Cohen and Fisher 2013; Sattar et al. 2014; Arguello et al. 2015; Jensen et al. 2018).

Studies of human kidney markers related to PFAS exposures illustrate the importance of understanding physiology to inform study design choices and reasonable interpretations. These substances have complex excretion mechanics that vary with dose, state of the healthy or progressively diseased kidney, as well as a potentially additional causative effect on kidney disease outcome(s). Appropriate definition of biological and mechanistic targets and more precise investigation of PFAS subclasses will better inform study designs and research questions. For example, consistent reports of disrupted cholesterol metabolism should prompt mechanistic studies evaluating effects on steroid hormones that may influence cancer, fecundity, lactation, and developmental signals seen in human population data. More attention could be given to effects of PFAS on the hypothalamic-pituitary-gonadal axis and then reconsidered based on life stages.

The history of long-chain PFAS studies indicates that collaborative team approaches featuring clinical, epidemiologic, computational modeling, and laboratory toxicological expertise are needed. Future population designs and more sensitive analytical methodologies should address replacement chemicals, typically found as mixtures; study designs must account for shorter PFAS half-lives and unpredictable PFAS detection in exposed individuals/communities. Innovative use of biomarkers in specifically designated risk subpopulations (obesity, immune) will likely be important.

Sex differences, nonmonotonic dose responses, sensitive subpopulations

Although serum-level differences exist between men and women similarly exposed to individual PFAS, sex-dependent differences in half-life have not been reported in human populations for short-chain (PFBS, PFBA) or long-chain per-fluoroalkyl acids thus far (Li et al. 2017b). Perhaps the half-life differences between the sexes is similar to interindividual variability and cannot be detected above background, or studies deriving data sets used to model half-lives were not designed to detect sex differences (convenience sampling or workers were mostly male, etc.). However, sex-specific elimination half-lives are defined (Table 1) for some PFAS in rodent models. In addition, developmental exposure studies in experimental models have consistently shown effects at lower doses than adult-only exposures and should be given priority in testing replacement chemicals. In vitro and alternative models that capture developmental susceptibility are encouraged. In summary, care should be taken in testing replacement PFAS in rodent or alternative (cell-based or zebrafish, for example) models to consider 1) the possibilities of sex-based differences in elimination half-lives, 2) dose range used (to include human relevant exposures), 3) life stage represented in the model system, and 4) variability of the response to enable the use of data generated for risk assessment.

Future experimental model studies

Experimental rodent studies have been essential in confirming PFAS health effects (liver and thyroid disease, lipid homeostasis), even when effects were not identical to those in humans; in some cases, novel targets (mammary and immune changes) were identified in animals. Future animal, cell-based, and high-throughput toxicity screening should enhance transparency in reporting to include blinded dose allocation, reporting of all data, adherence to Animal Research Reporting In Vivo Experiments (ARRIVE) guidelines (Kilkenny et al. 2010), and dose ranges that approach human relevance (adjusted to reflect the differences in elimination between species and potentially chronic exposures) so that they suitably inform systematic reviews that may be used in chemical regulation.

Model selection for health effects evaluation is critical. An appropriate model should be sensitive, be susceptible to the outcome(s) of interest (obesity, immune), and produce outcomes that will inform human health effects. Alternative research models, such as transgenic mice, zebrafish, developmental models for most affected target tissues, and diet-challenged designs in susceptible rodent strains, will strengthen our knowledge of PFAS-related health effects. Validation of fish neurobehavior models to inform mammalian, including human, developmental responses is needed.

Finally, advanced human cell-based platforms—that have been validated for relevant outcomes in humans—will facilitate concurrent screening of larger numbers of PFAS, but bioavailability of PFAS in the culture system needs to be understood because binding to media proteins or labware, the instability of some PFAS in some vehicles, and altered metabolism may exist in some cases (Gaballah et al. 2020; Liberatore et al. 2020).

Future alternative approaches

One way to determine the toxicity of the large number of PFAS compounds currently used in commerce is to develop quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSAR). Such QSAR attempt to define relationships between a PFAS compound structure with a specific biological activity or response that identifies or is a biomarker for toxicity. Few data are available for receptor binding of PFAS, mainly limited to a few PFCAs and PFSAs; and even between carboxylates and sulfonates of similar chain length substantial differences have been observed (Cheng and Ng 2017, 2018). If there are substantial differences between perfluoroalkyl carboxylic and sulfonic acids, which differ only in their acid head group, construction of successful QSAR for the large and diverse class of all PFAS will be particularly challenging. Several QSAR may be developed, each predictive of toxicity of a distinct class or subclass of PFAS, based on a unique functional moiety or other feature. Although this brings additional challenges in finding sufficient data for QSAR training and validation, big data approaches, such as the recently developed machine learning models to predict PFAS bioactivity (Cheng and Ng 2019), show promise for advancing these computational approaches at the screening level.

For example, it may be determined by affinity for receptor-specific binding and nonspecific interactions with cellular membranes that the specific toxic effect exhibits a multiphasic dose response reflecting 2 potential modes of action. In addition, the critical effect may change with levels of PFAS exposure. Add to this that people are typically exposed to PFAS mixtures, each of which may have a different affinity for a binding site and ability to impact cellular membrane fluidity, and the potential to predict PFAS toxicity becomes extremely complicated. In the foreseeable future, we may be limited to assessing PFAS toxicity using high-throughput assays designed to inform regulators as to the relative toxicity of PFAS mixtures or compounds. Such approaches are suited to the use of artificial intelligence (i.e., machine learning approaches) that integrate data from multiple sources to identify bioaccumulation potential, relevant pathways triggered, protein binding affinities, and modes of action involved in the development of individual and mixture toxicity of PFAS.

The utility of any future approach to determining PFAS toxicity must consider tissue-specific modes of action. Such an approach may rely on molecular interactions with specific binding sites on enzymes/storage/transport proteins or the nonspecific ability to alter cell membrane fluidity by which membrane-bound protein activities are altered within a particular organ/system. Regardless of the mode of action, model, and/or simulation, the predictive result should be biologically plausible and represent dose-effect responses across species.

Publisher's Disclaimer: Disclaimer—The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Navy, the Department of Defense, the USEPA, the National Institutes of Health, or the US government. J.S. Smith, S.E. Fenton, and C. Lau are employees of the US government. Their work in the preparation of this publication was part of their official duties. Title 17, U.S.C., §105 provides that copyright protection under this title is not available for any work of the US government. Title 17, U.S.C., §1010 defines a US government work as a work prepared by a military service member or employee of the US government as part of that person’s official duties.

Data Availability Statement—Data, associated metadata, and calculation tools are available from the corresponding author (ude.lfu@streborms).

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