The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, with no immediate relief for consumers from sky-high borrowing costs (2024)

The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, with no immediate relief for consumers fromsky-highborrowing costs (1)

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Fed may not cut rates at all this year, according to market forecaster Jim Bianco

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The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday it will leave interest rates unchanged, delaying the possibility of rate cuts as well as any relief fromsky-highborrowing costs.

Overall, expectations that the Fed is pulling off a soft landing have increased, but that offers little consolation for Americans with high-interest debt.

And now there may be fewer interest rate cuts on the horizon after hotter-than-expected inflation reports sent the message that "we are moving in the right direction, but we're not there yet," said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

For consumers, that means "a very slow downward drift in savings rates but no material change in borrowing costs for credit cards, auto loans or home equity lines of credit," McBride said.

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Inflation has been a persistent problem since the Covid-19 pandemic, when price increases soared to their highest levels since the early 1980s. The Fed responded with a series of interest rate hikes that took its benchmark rate to its highest level in more than 22 years.

The federal funds rate, which is set by the U.S. central bank, is the interest rate at which banks borrow and lend to one another overnight. Although that's not the rate consumers pay, the Fed's moves still affect the borrowing and savings rates they see every day.

The spike in interest rates caused most consumerborrowing costs to skyrocket, putting many households under pressure.

Even with some rate cuts on the horizon later this year, consumers won't see their borrowing costs come down significantly, according to Columbia Business School economics professor Brett House.

"The costs of borrowing will remain relatively tight in real terms as inflation pressures continue to ease gradually," he said.

From credit cards and mortgage rates to auto loans and savings accounts,here's a look at where those rates could go in 2024.

Credit cards

Since mostcredit cardshave a variable rate, there's a direct connection to the Fed's benchmark. In the wake of the rate hike cycle, the average credit card rate rose from 16.34% in March 2022 to nearly 21% today —an all-time high.

With most people feeling strained by higher prices, balances arehigherand more cardholders arecarrying debt from month to monthcompared with last year.

Annual percentage rates will start to come down when the Fed cuts rates, but even then they will only ease off extremely high levels. With only a few potential quarter-point cuts on deck, APRs would still be around 20% by the end of 2024, according to TedRossman, Bankrate's senior industry analyst.

"If the average credit card rate falls a percentage point from its current record high of 20.75%, most cardholders would barely notice," he said.

Mortgage rates

Although 15- and 30-year mortgage rates are fixed, and tied to Treasury yields and the economy, anyone shopping for a new home has lost considerable purchasing power, partly because of inflation and the Fed's policy moves.

But rates are already lower since hitting 8%in October. Now, the average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is near 7%. That's up from 4.4% when the Fed started raising rates in March 2022 and 3.27% at the end of 2021, according to Bankrate.

Doug Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae, expects mortgage rates will end the year at 6.4%, but that won't provide much of a boost for would-be homebuyers.

"The housing market is likely to continue to face the dual affordability constraints of high home prices and elevated interest rates in 2024," Duncan said. "The problem is still supply. If rates come down and it ramps up demand and there's no supply, the only thing that happens is that home prices go up."

Auto loans

Even thoughauto loansare fixed, payments are getting bigger becausecar priceshave been rising along with the interest rates on new loans, resulting inless affordablemonthly payments.

The average rate on a five-year new car loan is now more than 7%, up from 4% when the Fed started raising rates, according to Edmunds. However, competition between lenders and more incentives in the market have started to take some of the edge off the cost of buying a car lately, said Ivan Drury, Edmunds' director of insights.

Once the Fed cuts rates, "that gives people a little more breathing room," Drury said. "Last year was ugly all around. At least there's an upside this year."

Student loans

Federal student loan ratesare also fixed, so most borrowers aren't immediately affected.But undergraduate students who take out new direct federal student loans are now paying 5.50% — up from 4.99% in the 2022-23 academic year and 3.73% in 2021-22.

Private student loans tend to have a variable rate tied to the prime, Treasury bill or another rate index, which means those borrowers are already paying more in interest. How much more, however, varies with the benchmark.

For thosestrugglingwith existing debt,there are ways federal borrowers can reduce their burden, includingincome-based plans with $0 monthly paymentsandeconomic hardship and unemployment deferments.

Private loan borrowers have fewer options for relief — although some could consider refinancing once rates start to come down, and those with better credit may already qualify for a lower rate.

Savings rates

While the central bank has nodirect influenceon deposit rates, the yields tend to be correlated to changes in the target federal funds rate.

As a result, top-yielding online savings account rates have made significant moves and are now paying more than 5% — above the rate of inflation, which is a rare win for anyone building up an emergency savings account, McBride said.

Since those rates have likely maxed out, this is the time to lock incertificates of deposit, especially maturities longer than one year, he said. "There's no incentive to hold out for something better because that's not the way the wind is blowing."

Currently, one-yearCDsare averaging 1.73%, but top-yieldingCD ratespay over 5%,as good as or better than a high-yield savings account.

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The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, with no immediate relief for consumers from sky-high borrowing costs (2024)

FAQs

What is the Federal Reserve doing with interest rates? ›

Interest rates have held steady since July 2023.

At its March 2024 gathering the Fed decided to keep the federal funds target rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, where it has remained since July 2023. To combat ongoing inflation, the rate was raised 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023.

Does the Federal Reserve have no impact on interest rates? ›

The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday it will leave interest rates unchanged as inflation continues to prove stickier than expected. However, the move also dashes hopes that the Fed will be able to start cutting rates soon and relieve consumers from sky-high borrowing costs.

Are interest rates steady? ›

They have held rates steady for six straight meetings, and as recently as March, they had expected to make three interest rate cuts in 2024. Now, though, inflation's recent staying power has made that look less likely.

What happens to consumers as the federal interest rate rises? ›

Higher interest rates can make borrowing money more expensive for consumers and businesses, while also potentially making it harder to get approved for loans. On the positive side, higher interest rates can benefit savers as banks increase yields to attract more deposits.

Did the Federal Reserve decide to raise interest rates? ›

The Fed doesn't directly set mortgage rates, but it does influence them. The bond market, inflation, and other factors all contribute to the high mortgage rates currently facing consumers. The average rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage recently rose to above 7% for the first time since November.

Why are interest rates so high? ›

When inflation is high, the government raises rates to deter borrowers from taking loans in an effort to reduce spending. The current price of goods might skyrocket by the time the borrower pays it back. This will reduce the lender's purchasing power. When the demand for credit is high, so are interest rates.

Do banks make more money when interest rates rise? ›

A rise in interest rates automatically boosts a bank's earnings. It increases the amount of money that the bank earns by lending out its cash on hand at short-term interest rates.

Why is lowering interest rates bad? ›

However, when rates are too low, they can spur excessive growth and subsequent inflation, reducing purchasing power and undermining the sustainability of the economic expansion.

What are the cons of the Federal Reserve? ›

Cons of the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve operates independently of the U.S. government, and its monetary policy decisions are not approved by Congress or the U.S. president. This independence helps the Fed operate free of political pressure, but it also limits the Fed's accountability.

Why are interest rates fluctuating? ›

Interest rates fluctuate in response to various factors. Primarily, they are influenced by supply and demand. When there's a strong demand for money or credit, lending institutions can increase the cost of borrowing. When demand weakens, they can reduce interest rates, making it cheaper to take on loans.

How often do interest rates fluctuate? ›

Banks can change mortgage interest rates daily, and sometimes even multiple times a day, depending on market conditions and other economic factors. Do mortgage rates change daily? Yes, mortgage rates can change daily based on various factors such as economic news, market sentiment, and the bond market.

Are real interest rates constant? ›

In the US, Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are issued by the US Treasury. The expected real interest rate can vary considerably from year to year. The real interest rate on short term loans is strongly influenced by the monetary policy of central banks.

What is not true about the Federal Reserve? ›

Final answer: The incorrect statement about the Federal Reserve is that it was established by the U.S. Constitution. It was in fact established in 1913 through the Federal Reserve Act.

What are the disadvantages of increasing interest rates? ›

Higher interest rates typically slow down the economy since it costs more for consumers and businesses to borrow money. But while higher interest rates can make it more expensive to borrow and could hamper overall economic growth, there are also some benefits.

Why won't raising interest rates work? ›

Raising borrowing costs for consumers theoretically means they have less to spend on other goods and services. Just as importantly, it raises borrowing costs for businesses, reducing demand for investment and lowering profits. This lowers their ability to employ people or give inflation-busting pay rises.

Are interest rates going to go down in 2024? ›

But until the Fed sees evidence of slowing economic growth, interest rates will stay higher for longer. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025.

Will interest rates go down in May 2024? ›

Fed hikes have pushed mortgage rates up over the last two years. But the Fed has indicated that it's likely done hiking rates and could start cutting in 2024. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

In summary, it is unlikely that mortgage rates in the US will ever reach 3% again, at least not in the foreseeable future. This is due to a combination of factors, including: Higher Inflation: Inflation is currently at a 40-year high in the US, and the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates to combat it.

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