When should I invest in growth stocks?
Growth stocks, in general, have the potential to perform better when interest rates are falling and company earnings are rising. However, they may also be the first to be punished when the economy is cooling.
It may become difficult for investors to find reliable growth stocks to buy if interest rates remain at 23-year highs for an extended period. Nevertheless, growth stocks outperformed value stocks in 2023, and that trend has continued so far in 2024 as investors anticipate a Federal Reserve pivot to rate cuts.
Investment in growth stocks can be risky. Because they typically do not offer dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to earn money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares. If the company does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it's time to sell.
| S.No. | Company | Industry/Sector |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Tata Consultancy Services Ltd | IT - Software |
| 2. | Infosys Ltd | IT - Software |
| 3. | Hindustan Unilever Ltd | FMCG |
| 4. | Reliance Industries Ltd | Refineries |
The rationale is that stocks tend to cool through the summer months before returning to growth in the fall, but there is no merit to that conventional wisdom. The S&P 500 usually moves higher between June and August, and July has historically been the single best month of the year for the index.
The intrigue deepens when we consider the anticipated decline in interest rates for 2024. According to conventional wisdom, this should herald another favorable year for growth stocks relative to value. Yet, the lessons from 2023 remind us that markets are unpredictable, and historical patterns may not always hold.
| S.No. | Name | CMP Rs. |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Guj. Themis Bio. | 369.45 |
| 2. | Refex Industries | 140.25 |
| 3. | Tanla Platforms | 825.20 |
| 4. | M K Exim India | 73.73 |
In most cases, profits should be taken when a stock rises 20% to 25% past a proper buy point. Then there are times to hold out longer, like when a stock jumps more than 20% from a breakout point in three weeks or less. These fast movers should be held for at least eight weeks.
Value dominance tends to assert itself when inflation is high, economic growth is strong and rates are elevated. By contrast, Growth stocks often outperform when inflation is low, economic growth is relatively weak and rates are low and falling.
| Stock | Forward price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) |
|---|---|
| Enphase Energy Inc. (ENPH) | 25.3 |
| Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) | 30.0 |
| Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) | 26.6 |
| Tesla Inc. (TSLA) | 57.6 |
Which top 5 shares to buy?
| STOCK | ACTION | TRADE PRICE |
|---|---|---|
| INDHOTEL | BUY | 569 |
| NATCOPHARM | BUY | 958 |
| MOTHERSON | BUY | 117 |
| BSOFT | BUY | 745 |
- Alphabet.
- Amazon.com.
- Apple.
- Meta Platforms.
- Microsoft.
- Nvidia.
- Tesla.
| S.No. | Name | CMP Rs. |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Rama Steel Tubes | 13.69 |
| 2. | Brightcom Group | 14.46 |
| 3. | Easy Trip Plann. | 44.08 |
| 4. | Radhika Jeweltec | 65.99 |
Some traders follow something called the "10 a.m. rule." The stock market opens for trading at 9:30 a.m., and the time between 9:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. often has significant trading volume. Traders that follow the 10 a.m. rule think a stock's price trajectory is relatively set for the day by the end of that half-hour.
- Best Months: April, June, July, October, November, and December.
- Worst Months: January, February, March, August, and September are weaker periods.
A common rule of thumb is the 50-30-20 rule, which suggests allocating 50% of your after-tax income to essentials, 30% to discretionary spending and 20% to savings and investments. Within that 20% allocation, the portion designated for stocks depends on your risk tolerance.
We expect lackluster global earnings growth with downside for equities from current levels.” Against this backdrop, value stocks have a strong chance of outperforming their growth counterparts in 2024.
For now at least, analysts are anticipating S&P 500 earnings growth will continue to accelerate in the first half of 2024. Analysts project S&P 500 earnings will grow 3.9% year-over-year in the first quarter and another 9% in the second quarter.
As a whole, analysts are optimistic about the outlook for stock prices in 2024. The consensus analyst price target for the S&P 500 is 5,090, suggesting roughly 8.5% upside from current levels.
| S.No. | Name | CMP Rs. |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | SG Mart | 494.75 |
| 2. | Jai Balaji Inds. | 904.25 |
| 3. | Insolation Ener | 1642.00 |
| 4. | Waaree Renewab. | 1409.00 |
Does the stock market really double every 7 years?
NYU business professor Aswath Damodaran has done the math. According to his math, since 1949 S&P 500 investments have doubled ten times, or an average of about seven years each time. In some cases, like 1952 to 1955 or 1995 to 1998, the value of the investment doubled in only three years.
| S.No. | Name | CMP Rs. |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Ksolves India | 1121.30 |
| 2. | Life Insurance | 905.10 |
| 3. | Remedium Life | 111.00 |
| 4. | Tips Industries | 471.30 |
Here's a specific rule to help boost your prospects for long-term stock investing success: Once your stock has broken out, take most of your profits when they reach 20% to 25%. If market conditions are choppy and decent gains are hard to come by, then you could exit the entire position.
As a retail investor, you can't buy and sell the same stock more than four times within a five-business-day period. Anyone who exceeds this violates the pattern day trader rule, which is reserved for individuals who are classified by their brokers are day traders and can be restricted from conducting any trades.
In short, the 3-day rule dictates that following a substantial drop in a stock's share price — typically high single digits or more in terms of percent change — investors should wait 3 days to buy.
